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Iowa caucus paves the way for candidates

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1-28 Iowa Caucus YVYV 2020

MADISON (WKOW) -- After more than a year of candidates announcing their run, polling and TV debates, voters in Iowa will finally have a chance to weigh in on the presidential race Monday.

Iowa’s results will then give the rest of us a glimpse at who has the capacity to win over delegates. 

UW Political Science Professor Michael Wagner said Monday's results will show which candidates have strong campaigns. Then they will be closely watched to see if they can keep that momentum through November.

He also said it's a test for candidates who are polling much lower compared to the top tier.

"There are some campaigns who think their chance might be better in one state or another, but I think for others who've been in the four to zero percent range in the polls if they don't over-perform in Iowa they might be more likely to be on their way out afterward," said Wagner.

The impact of Iowa can also be overblown, according to Wagner, because the New Hampshire primary is Feb 11, which could produce very different outcomes. 

Many of the second-tier candidates such as Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and billionaires Michael Bloomberg and Tom Steyer are already making trips to New Hampshire in hopes to get ahead of their opponents.

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Emilee Fannon

Capital Bureau Chief

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